This is a two-candidate race as of the June 30, 2026 roster snapshot, pitting a two-term incumbent and sitting Deputy Mayor against a first-time candidate with no prior elected record. Nominations remain open until certification (by August 24, 2026), so the field could still change.
Lewis won big under the old boundaries: 64% in 2018 and 89% in 2022. But the new ward includes several thousand residents from former Ward 4 areas who have never voted for or against him — a genuine variable for 2026 that his past vote share doesn't directly predict. Ramsey's only prior electoral action was entering and then withdrawing from the 2022 Ward 1 race to support the eventual winner. There is no prior vote-share data point for him to run on.
No 2026-cycle endorsements, campaign finance disclosures, or ward-level polling were located for either candidate as of the research date. That is consistent with how early the campaign still is, and the nomination period is still open.
The two platforms clash directly on what a councillor can legally do. Lewis's "My Commitments" page warns, without naming anyone, against candidates promising a tax on vacant commercial buildings or line-by-line reallocation of the police budget, arguing councils lack both powers.
Ramsey's "Policy Ideas" page proposes pressing vacant-property owners (while itself acknowledging London cannot levy a vacancy tax) and lowering the overall police budget while expanding the COAST crisis program. Voters can read both pages directly: shawnlewis.ca/my_commitments and zackramsey.ca/policy-ideas.