More sworn officers
Raise the force's authorized strength beyond the 97 growth officers already funded through 2027; or, from the other side, decline to renew that trajectory in the next multi-year budget. London had 698 actual officers in May 2025 against 737 authorized.
THE EVIDENCE, THE COSTS, WHO DECIDES▾
- The best-identified American evidence finds more police reduce serious crime: a measurement-error-corrected study puts the effect at roughly a 5% drop in cost-weighted crime for a 10% force increase, concentrated in violent crime. NBER working paper ↗
- A 2022 study across US cities: each additional officer abates approximately 0.1 homicides, about one homicide prevented per ten officers added, with per-capita effects twice as large for Black victims; larger forces also made fewer arrests for serious crimes. AER: Insights ↗
- A US federal hiring-grant study found each added officer prevented about 4 violent and 15 property crimes, and put the social value of a marginal officer above $300,000. Journal of Public Economics ↗
- How officers are used matters as much as how many: hot-spots policing (concentrating patrols on the small map areas where crime clusters) is rated Effective by the US National Institute of Justice's evidence registry, with modest average effects. NIJ CrimeSolutions ↗
- The same 2022 study cuts the other way in the same abstract: larger forces make more arrests for low-level "quality-of-life" offences, "with effects that imply a disproportionate burden for Black Americans." Quote the two halves together or not at all. AER: Insights ↗
- The Canadian record does not show the American relationship. Public Safety Canada's own research synthesis: police resources returned to early-1990s levels while crime fell 46% since 1991, and across provinces and cities police levels and crime rates "can often be positively correlated." London's own tables fit the ambiguity: total crime severity fell from 2022 to 2024 while officers were being added, and the violent index began falling in 2022, before the hires ramped. Public Safety Canada (PDF) ↗
- Approved positions are not filled positions. Ontario faces a province-wide police recruiting shortage: services launched a joint recruiting campaign in July 2025 amid staffing shortfalls, and the province expanded police-college intake. There is no published tracker of London's progress toward the 97 growth positions. CBC ↗
- The response-time case is genuinely split: the classic Kansas City finding is that response time doesn't affect arrests for the large share of crimes discovered after the fact, while the modern UK evidence says faster response improves clearance of in-progress calls. A candidate selling officers on response times owes voters which call types they mean. LSE working paper (PDF) ↗
- The unit price at home: an LPS first-class constable's base salary is $120,445 to $131,285 on the July 2025 grid, before benefits, equipment, and supervision. A fully loaded average across the whole service works out to roughly $151,000 per employee, an average across all ranks and civilians, not a hiring quote. LPS salary grid ↗
Ten additional officers cost about $1.2 million a year in base salary alone. Closing the gap to the Ontario-average staffing rate would take roughly 170 more officers, $20 million-plus a year in base salary, more than two points of tax levy, before civilian support, vehicles, or facilities. A candidate promising "average staffing" owes voters that number. StatCan Police Administration Survey ↗